@article{9e3277941b7741ccbad5cb40abff5801,
title = "Still three Wales? Social location and electoral behaviour in contemporary Wales",
abstract = "Wales provides a notable exception to the contemporary academic consensus that electoral behaviour is best studied via choice-based approaches. In Wales, the orthodoxy remains that of the Three-Wales Model, an approach formulated in the 1980s which saw voting behaviour as defined by class, language and national identity. This article submits the Three-Wales Model to detailed scrutiny for the first time. The model is argued to have been constructed on a very narrow theoretical basis, and on flawed measurements. Most importantly, however, the Three-Wales Model is shown to have little empirical leverage on voting behaviour in Wales - either for the period when it was formulated or for more recent elections. Factors associated with 'valence politics' theories are shown to provide far greater insight into voting behaviour in contemporary Wales.",
keywords = "Electoral behaviour, Three-Wales Model, Valence politics, Wales",
author = "Roger Scully and Jones, {Richard Wyn}",
note = "Funding Information: The 1979 Welsh Election Study explored voting in the March 1979 devolution referendum and May 1979 UK general election. The study was funded by the Social Science Research Council (Grant HR4732/1), and directed by Denis Balsom and Peter Madgwick of Aberystwyth University. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face by Gallup; the sample size was 858. Data used in the analysis are unweighted. Data are available from the Data Archive: http://www.data-archive.ac.uk/. The 2011 Welsh Election Study was funded by a grant from the Economic and Social Research Council of the United Kingdom (Grant RES-062-23-2625). The Co-Directors of the Study were Roger Scully and Richard Wyn Jones. Survey fieldwork for the study was conducted by YouGov, via the internet. The pre-election wave of the study included 2359 respondents; of these, 2217 (just under 94%) also participated in the post-election wave. All data used in the analysis were weighted using YouGov's standard weighting factor which adjust for a range of demographic and attitudinal factors, including age, gender, region, social class, newspaper readership and past vote. Data, as well as further details on the study, are available to download at: http://www.aber.ac.uk/en/interpol/research/researchprojects/welshelectionstudy/aboutthestudy/. Publisher copyright: {\textcopyright} 2012 Elsevier Ltd.",
year = "2012",
month = dec,
doi = "10.1016/j.electstud.2012.07.007",
language = "English",
volume = "31",
pages = "656--667",
journal = "Electoral Studies",
issn = "0261-3794",
publisher = "Elsevier BV",
number = "4",
}