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Steeper spatiotemporal distribution of extreme precipitation intensity in urban than rural regions

  • Tianshun Gu
  • , Xihui Gu*
  • , Yansong Guan
  • , Liangyi Wang
  • , Edvin Aldrian
  • , Fredolin Tangang
  • , Tan Phan-Van
  • , Mukand S. Babel
  • , Ahmed El Kenawy
  • , Ijaz Hussain
  • , Jose Antonio Marengo Orsini
  • , Erdenesukh Sumiya
  • , Xiang Zhang
  • , Dongdong Kong
  • , Wenjie Hu
  • , Lunche Wang
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › peer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Urban flooding is highly sensitive to the organization of precipitation—its intensity, timing, spatial extent, and concentration. However, it remains unclear how urbanization alters these structure-related characteristics of extreme precipitation across time and space. Here, in the case of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration of East China, we examine the urbanization-induced asymmetric spatiotemporal reorganization of extreme precipitation during the rainy season (May–September) from 1979 to 2015. Urban extreme precipitation events show less uniform temporal evolution than rural counterparts, characterized by sharper peaks, suppressed flanks, and faster post-peak attenuation. Spatially, these events display more heterogeneous patterns with centralized intensification and peripheral weakening. This reorganization is driven temporally by greater warming and stronger peak-precipitation response in urban regions, and spatially by extensive urban expansion that contracts the spatial extent of extreme precipitation while amplifying its central intensity. These findings improve our understanding of how urbanization reshapes the spatiotemporal structure of extreme precipitation and provides insights for improved flood preparedness and water resource management in rapidly developing urban regions.

Original languageEnglish
Article number134930
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of Hydrology
Volume667
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

User-Defined Keywords

  • Urbanization
  • Extreme precipitation
  • Precipitation organization
  • Urban flood
  • Urban agglomeration

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