Profitability of Technical Analysis in the Singapore Stock Market: before and after the Asian Financial Crisis

James J. Kung, Wing-Keung Wong

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    Abstract

    In the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, a series of reform and liberalization measures have been implemented in Singapore to upgrade its financial markets. This study investigates whether these measures have led to less profitability for those investors who employ technical rules for trading stocks. Our results show that the three trading rules consistently generate higher annual returns for 1988-1996 than those for 1999-2007. Further, they generally perform better than the buy-and-hold (BH) strategy for 1988-1996 but perform no better than the BH strategy for 1999-2007. These findings suggest that the efficiency of the Singapore stock market has been considerably enhanced by the measures implemented after the crisis.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)135-150
    Number of pages16
    JournalJournal of Economic Integration
    Volume24
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Mar 2009

    User-Defined Keywords

    • Asian financial crisis
    • profitability
    • technical analysis
    • moving average
    • trading range breakout

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