Market-based Estimation of Average Electricity Outage Costs in the United States

Chi Keung Woo; A. Tishler; Kang Hua Cao; Han Qi; Raymond Li; Jay Zarnikau

doi:10.46557/001c.90927

Market-based Estimation of Average Electricity Outage Costs in the United States

Chi Keung Woo
, A. Tishler
, Kang Hua Cao
, Han Qi^*
, Raymond Li
, Jay Zarnikau

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › peer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Electricity outage cost (EOC) estimates ($ per kWh unserved) are essential input data for optimal reliability planning and efficient pricing of electricity services. Based on the 2019-2020 market data published by two US government agencies for the lower 48 states, this paper’s EOC estimates by census region and year are median values of $1.39 to $2.93 per kWh unserved, well below the estimate of $9 per kWh unserved adopted by Texas for optimal reliability planning. The policy implications of adopting our lower EOC estimate are (a) a reduction in an electric grid’s optimal planning reserve to improve the grid’s cost efficiency; and (b) a decline in the grid’s marginal cost-based retail price to encourage welfare-enhancing end-use consumption.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1-5
Number of pages	5
Journal	Energy Research Letters
Volume	5
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.90927
Publication status	Published - 10 May 2024

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SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

User-Defined Keywords

Electricity outage costs
Market-based estimation
United States

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10.46557/001c.90927

Cite this

@article{b95998ea56f84051ac84a09a437bd1ad,

title = "Market-based Estimation of Average Electricity Outage Costs in the United States",

abstract = "Electricity outage cost (EOC) estimates (\$ per kWh unserved) are essential input data for optimal reliability planning and efficient pricing of electricity services. Based on the 2019-2020 market data published by two US government agencies for the lower 48 states, this paper{\textquoteright}s EOC estimates by census region and year are median values of \$1.39 to \$2.93 per kWh unserved, well below the estimate of \$9 per kWh unserved adopted by Texas for optimal reliability planning. The policy implications of adopting our lower EOC estimate are (a) a reduction in an electric grid{\textquoteright}s optimal planning reserve to improve the grid{\textquoteright}s cost efficiency; and (b) a decline in the grid{\textquoteright}s marginal cost-based retail price to encourage welfare-enhancing end-use consumption.",

keywords = "Electricity outage costs, Market-based estimation, United States",

author = "Woo, \{Chi Keung\} and A. Tishler and Cao, \{Kang Hua\} and Han Qi and Raymond Li and Jay Zarnikau",

note = "This study was partially funded by the Ford Foundation (\#134371 and \#139746) and the Research Matching Grant Scheme of the Research Grant Council of the HKSAR Government, and supported by Shenzhen Humanities \& Social Sciences Key Research Bases. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2024, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association. All rights reserved.",

year = "2024",

month = may,

day = "10",

doi = "10.46557/001c.90927",

language = "English",

volume = "5",

pages = "1--5",

journal = "Energy Research Letters",

issn = "2652-6433",

publisher = "Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association",

number = "2",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Market-based Estimation of Average Electricity Outage Costs in the United States

AU - Woo, Chi Keung

AU - Tishler, A.

AU - Cao, Kang Hua

AU - Qi, Han

AU - Li, Raymond

AU - Zarnikau, Jay

N1 - This study was partially funded by the Ford Foundation (#134371 and #139746) and the Research Matching Grant Scheme of the Research Grant Council of the HKSAR Government, and supported by Shenzhen Humanities & Social Sciences Key Research Bases. Publisher Copyright: © 2024, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association. All rights reserved.

PY - 2024/5/10

Y1 - 2024/5/10

N2 - Electricity outage cost (EOC) estimates ($ per kWh unserved) are essential input data for optimal reliability planning and efficient pricing of electricity services. Based on the 2019-2020 market data published by two US government agencies for the lower 48 states, this paper’s EOC estimates by census region and year are median values of $1.39 to $2.93 per kWh unserved, well below the estimate of $9 per kWh unserved adopted by Texas for optimal reliability planning. The policy implications of adopting our lower EOC estimate are (a) a reduction in an electric grid’s optimal planning reserve to improve the grid’s cost efficiency; and (b) a decline in the grid’s marginal cost-based retail price to encourage welfare-enhancing end-use consumption.

AB - Electricity outage cost (EOC) estimates ($ per kWh unserved) are essential input data for optimal reliability planning and efficient pricing of electricity services. Based on the 2019-2020 market data published by two US government agencies for the lower 48 states, this paper’s EOC estimates by census region and year are median values of $1.39 to $2.93 per kWh unserved, well below the estimate of $9 per kWh unserved adopted by Texas for optimal reliability planning. The policy implications of adopting our lower EOC estimate are (a) a reduction in an electric grid’s optimal planning reserve to improve the grid’s cost efficiency; and (b) a decline in the grid’s marginal cost-based retail price to encourage welfare-enhancing end-use consumption.

KW - Electricity outage costs

KW - Market-based estimation

KW - United States

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85195553688

U2 - 10.46557/001c.90927

DO - 10.46557/001c.90927

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:85195553688

SN - 2652-6433

VL - 5

SP - 1

EP - 5

JO - Energy Research Letters

JF - Energy Research Letters

IS - 2

ER -

Market-based Estimation of Average Electricity Outage Costs in the United States

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