TY - JOUR
T1 - Exchange rates, local currency pricing and international tax policies
AU - CHEN, Sihao
AU - Devereux, Michael
AU - Shi, Kang
AU - Xu, Juanyi
N1 - Devereux acknowledges financial support from the Social Sciences and Research Council of Canada. Xu would like to thank the Hong Kong Research Grants Council (GRF no. 644810) for financial support. Chen acknowledges financial support from Shanghai Institute of International Finance and Economics.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
PY - 2021/1
Y1 - 2021/1
N2 - Empirical evidence suggests that for many countries, retail prices of traded goods are sticky in national currencies. Movements in exchange rates then cause deviations from the law of one price, and exchange rate misalignment, which cannot be corrected by monetary policy alone. This paper shows that a state contingent international tax policy can be combined with monetary policy to eliminate exchange rate misalignment and sustain a fully efficient welfare outcome. But this monetary-fiscal mix cannot be decentralized with non-cooperative determination of monetary and fiscal policy. Non-cooperative use of taxes and subsidies introduces strategic spillovers which opens up a fundamental conflict between the goals of output gap and inflation stabilization and those of terms of trade manipulation in an open economy. The implementation of an efficient monetary-fiscal mix requires effective cooperation in fiscal policy, while leaving monetary policy to be determined non-cooperatively. In addition, while an efficient outcome requires state contingent taxes and subsidies to eliminate exchange rate misalignment, it is still necessary to have flexible exchange rates and independent monetary policy.
AB - Empirical evidence suggests that for many countries, retail prices of traded goods are sticky in national currencies. Movements in exchange rates then cause deviations from the law of one price, and exchange rate misalignment, which cannot be corrected by monetary policy alone. This paper shows that a state contingent international tax policy can be combined with monetary policy to eliminate exchange rate misalignment and sustain a fully efficient welfare outcome. But this monetary-fiscal mix cannot be decentralized with non-cooperative determination of monetary and fiscal policy. Non-cooperative use of taxes and subsidies introduces strategic spillovers which opens up a fundamental conflict between the goals of output gap and inflation stabilization and those of terms of trade manipulation in an open economy. The implementation of an efficient monetary-fiscal mix requires effective cooperation in fiscal policy, while leaving monetary policy to be determined non-cooperatively. In addition, while an efficient outcome requires state contingent taxes and subsidies to eliminate exchange rate misalignment, it is still necessary to have flexible exchange rates and independent monetary policy.
KW - Local currency pricing
KW - International tax
KW - Exchange rate
KW - Policy coordination
UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304393220300210?via%3Dihub
UR - https://www.scopus.com/record/display.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85081925721&origin=inward
U2 - 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.02.005
DO - 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.02.005
M3 - Journal article
SN - 0304-3932
VL - 117
SP - 460
EP - 472
JO - Journal of Monetary Economics
JF - Journal of Monetary Economics
ER -