Abstract
I derive the option-implied volatility allowing for nonzero correlation between price jump and diffusive risk to examine the information content of implied diffusive, jump risks and their implied covariance in the cross-sectional variation of future returns. This study documents a strong predictive power of realized volatility and correlated implied volatility spread (RV − IVC) in the cross section of stock returns. The difference of realized volatility with the implied diffusive volatility (RV − σC), jump risk (RV − γC) and covariance (RV − ICov) can forecast future returns. These RV − σC and RV − γC anomalies are robustly persistent even after controlling for market, size, book-to-market value, momentum and liquidity factors.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1187-1214 |
| Number of pages | 28 |
| Journal | Accounting and Finance |
| Volume | 56 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| Early online date | 10 Mar 2015 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Dec 2016 |
User-Defined Keywords
- Cross-sectional stock return
- Implied volatility
- Option-implied covariance