A panel data approach for program evaluation: Measuring the benefits of political and economic integration of Hong Kong with Mainland China

Cheng Hsiao, H. Steve Ching, Shui Ki WAN*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

106 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We propose a simple-to-implement panel data method to evaluate the impacts of social policy. The basic idea is to exploit the dependence among cross-sectional units to construct the counterfactuals. The cross-sectional correlations are attributed to the presence of some (unobserved) common factors. However, instead of trying to estimate the unobserved factors, we propose to use observed data. We use a panel of 24 countries to evaluate the impact of political and economic integration of Hong Kong with mainland China. We find that the political integration hardly had any impact on the growth of the Hong Kong economy. However, the economic integration has raised Hong Kong's annual real GDP by about 4%.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)705-740
Number of pages36
JournalJournal of Applied Econometrics
Volume27
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2012

Scopus Subject Areas

  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Economics and Econometrics

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